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Modelling International Developments: GTAP simulations of PMV and other tariff changes

Consultancy Report

Modelling International Developments: GTAP simulations of PMV and other tariff changes, produced by the Centre of International Ecomomics, was presented at the Modelling Workshop on 27 May 2002 for the public inquiry, Auto Industry.

CONTENTS

1   Introduction
This report
Some key results
Key features of the modelling design

2   PMV tariffs
Reducing Australia’s PMV tariffs
Reducing Australian and APEC PMV tariffs

3   Manufacturing tariffs
Australian and APEC manufacturing tariffs reduced to 5 per cent
Australian and APEC manufacturing tariffs removed

4   Manufacturing tariffs and agricultural protection
APEC tariffs and agricultural protection reduced to 5 per cent
Removing Australian and APEC protection
Removing world manufacturing tariffs and agricultural protection

5   Sensitivity analysis
Changes in parameter groups
Alternate closure

A   Appendix: technical simulation details
Model aggregation
Database adjustments
Solution method

References

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