Modelling Economy-wide Effects of Future TCF Assistance

Research report

This research report was released on 8 July 2008.

Preliminaries (PDF - 59 Kb)
Cover, Copyright, Foreword, Contents and Abbreviations
Overview (PDF - 63 Kb)
1 Background and approach to the study (PDF - 41 Kb)
1.1 Introduction
1.2 The Green Review and the Commission's study
1.3 Background to the current assistance regime
1.4 The Commission's approach to this study
2 Current assistance to the TCF sector (PDF - 47 Kb)
2.1 Tariff assistance
2.2 Budgetary assistance
2.3 Other programs and policies
2.4 Adding up TCF assistance
3 The modelling framework (PDF - 85 Kb)
3.1 Why use the MMRF model?
3.2 Key features of the MMRF model
3.3 Implementing the scenarios
3.4 Reporting the economic impacts
4 Modelling results (PDF - 88 Kb)
4.1 Main mechanisms at work
4.2 Results for different scenarios
4.3 Results for the sensitivity scenarios
5 The modelling in perspective (PDF - 76 Kb)
5.1 High level messages from the simulations
5.2 How robust are the model specifications and key parameters?
5.3 Accounting for 'exogenous' considerations
5.4 Summing up on the economy-wide effects
Appendix A Study request (PDF - 299 Kb)
Appendix B Summary of referee comments (PDF - 31 Kb)
Appendix C Additional results (PDF - 36 Kb)
Appendix D Modifying the database and incorporating assistance (PDF - 38 Kb)
Appendix E Additional simulations (PDF - 29 Kb)
Appendix F Analysis of pass through under monopoly (PDF - 28 Kb)
Appendix G Estimating assistance to TCF (PDF - 41 Kb)
Appendix H Import substitution elasticities (PDF - 11 Kb)
References (PDF - 15 Kb)

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