Modified Demographic and Economic Model (MoDEM 1.0)
MoDEM 1.0 was created for the Commission's report on Economic Implications of an Ageing Australia (PC 2005). It was modified for the report on Potential Benefits of the National Reform Agenda (PC 2007).
MoDEM 1.0 is used to calculate population, labour supply and GDP projections under different socioeconomic assumptions. Key results include population size, dependency ratios, aggregate participation rates, GDP and GDP per capita. Two sets of projections can be compared to evaluate the effects of a change in assumptions. Projections generated with the model are conditional, based on assumptions about demography and labour supply. They are not forecasts.
MoDEM 1.0 consists of three parts:
- demographic projection module
- labour projection module
- optional module to disaggregate the national projections to the state and territory level - the State and Territory Disaggregation Module (STDM).
The population and labour modules are contained in an excel file MoDEM 01.xls. The STDM module is in STDM 01.xls.
A new, upgraded version of this model (MoDEM 2.0) with a user-friendly interface is now available for download.
Download the model files
MoDEM 1.0 Installation Program (ZIP - 4.9 Mb)
Please note: Disclaimer of liability and conditions of use
Download the users guide
User guide contents
Preliminaries
Cover, Copyright, Contents, Acknowledgments, Disclaimer
1 A User's Guide to the Modified Demographic and Economic Model
1 How MoDEM works
2 How to use MoDEM
3 A step-by-step guide to implementing a hypothetical scenario in the main model
4 Frequently asked questions
A Theory and structure of MoDEM
B Explaining the equations in the User Defined Shocks
References
Attachments
Relevant commission work
Further information
Comments and suggestions about MoDEM and/or it's documentation are welcome. Email the MoDEM team