Recent Trends in Australian Fertility

Staff working paper

This paper by Ralph Lattimore and Clinton Pobke was released on 5 August 2008.


  • Preliminaries
    Cover, Copyright, Foreword, Acknowledgments, Contents and Abbreviations & explanations.
  • Overview
  • Chapter 1 Introduction
  • Chapter 2 What has been happening recently?
    2.1 Trends in births
    2.2 Trends in fertility
    2.3 Measurement errors in the fertility statistics
    2.4 A quantum effect or only the end of postponement?
    2.5 Parity data
    2.6 Age of mothers
    2.7 Changes to age-specific fertility rates
    2.8 What do other data on age-specific fertility rates show?
    2.9 Longitudinal evidence
    2.10 The increase in fertility and the slowing of postponement are not independent
  • Chapter 3 What has caused the increase in fertility?
    3.1 Prosperity and fertility
    3.2 House prices and rents
    3.3 Cost and availability of child care
    3.4 The effect of the policy environment on fertility
    3.5 Summary of the likely causes of the upturn in fertility
  • Chapter 4 Do we need to be worried by Australian fertility levels?
    4.1 Demographic impacts
    4.2 The social impacts of low fertility
    4.3 Impacts on the economy
    4.4 Putting Australia's demographic future into a global context
    4.5 Conclusion
  • Appendix A Linear interpolation method
  • Appendix B International Fertility Trends
  • Appendix C The impact of income on fertility
  • Appendix D The generosity of family policy
  • Appendix E International studies of the impacts of family policies on fertility
  • Appendix F Has the Baby Bonus changed the patterns of birth by age?
  • Appendix G Fertility intentions
  • Appendix H Tempo effects
  • References

Just briefly...

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